Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akhmat · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Akhmat are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Olmaliq are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Akhmat hold a 42.8-point power-rating edge (65.8 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Akhmat holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Akhmat
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
14.0%
Akhmat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00