Akhmatvs
Krylia Sovetov
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akhmat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Akhmat 3-3 Krylia Sovetov
Original prediction
Akhmat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.8% | 41.1% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 26.4% | 28.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 22.9% | 30.5% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Akhmat
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Akhmat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AkhmatWWLDD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Krylia SovetovWDLLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AkhmatKrylia Sovetov
33.3Attack11.1
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form22.2
36.5Power36.4
1.23xG1.08