GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 7/22/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akhmat · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Akhmat are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Krylia Sovetov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.5 against 36.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Premier League, while Akhmat holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Akhmat

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Akhmat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AkhmatWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Krylia SovetovDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AkhmatKrylia Sovetov
33.3Attack11.1
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form22.2
36.5Power36.4
1.23xG1.08
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