Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akhmat · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Akhmat are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FC UFA are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Akhmat hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (65.8 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Akhmat holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Akhmat
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Akhmat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20