Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Akhmat are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Rostov are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and fC Rostov hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring FC Rostov with 13.7% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
13.7%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00