Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akhmat · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Akhmat 2-1 Fakel
Original prediction
Akhmat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Akhmat
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Akhmat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AkhmatLDDLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FakelLDLLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AkhmatFakel
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.45xG1.06