Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dynamo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Akhmat 1-2 Dynamo
Original prediction
Dynamo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 34.5% | 31.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.9% | 28.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 37.5% | 39.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Dynamo
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AkhmatDLWDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DynamoWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AkhmatDynamo
33.3Attack44.4
44.4Defence88.9
44.4Form66.7
43.8Power66.7
1.04xG1.33