Akhmatvs
Dinamo Makhachkala
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Makhachkala · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Akhmat 3-2 Dinamo Makhachkala
Original prediction
Dinamo Makhachkala
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 44.3% | 33.9% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 29.5% | 28.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 26.2% | 37.9% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Makhachkala
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Dinamo Makhachkala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60