GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 7/30/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Akhmat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CSKA Moscow are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Moscow hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Premier League, while CSKA Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Moscow

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AkhmatLLWDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CSKA MoscowWLLLW

GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
AkhmatCSKA Moscow
33.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence77.8
16.7Form55.6
36.5Power59.1
1.09xG1.22
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