Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Akhmat are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Rostov are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rostov hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Premier League, while FC Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00