GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/6/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zhenys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Akademiya Ontustik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Zhenys are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Zhenys hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 65.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the 1. Division, while Zhenys holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zhenys

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Zhenys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akademiya OntustikLWLWL

GF 12 · GA 18 · avg 2.40/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ZhenysDDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Akademiya OntustikZhenys
51.9Attack71.6
57.4Defence58.0
55.6Form67.9
56.4Power65.6
1.39xG1.76
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