GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 10/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Turan Turkistan · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Akademiya Ontustik 0-2 Turan Turkistan

Original prediction

Turan Turkistan

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2839.0%27.0%-12.0 pts
Draw3.6824.2%24.7%0.5 pts
Away2.4236.8%48.3%11.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–112%
  3. 3.0–211%

Predicted outcome

Turan Turkistan

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Turan Turkistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akademiya OntustikLLDWW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Turan TurkistanWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Akademiya OntustikTuran Turkistan
48.0Attack70.7
60.0Defence70.7
57.3Form72.0
57.0Power69.9
0.89xG1.65
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