GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akademiya Ontustik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Akademiya Ontustik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tobol 2 are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Akademiya Ontustik hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 28.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.1% in the 1. Division, while Akademiya Ontustik holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Akademiya Ontustik

Probability

73.1%

Model confidence

73.1%

Akademiya Ontustik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akademiya OntustikLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tobol 2D

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Akademiya OntustikTobol 2
51.9Attack51.9
57.4Defence11.1
55.6Form18.5
56.4Power28.9
3.23xG1.14
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