GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akademiya Ontustik · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Akademiya Ontustik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Taraz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Akademiya Ontustik hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the 1. Division, while Akademiya Ontustik holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Akademiya Ontustik

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Akademiya Ontustik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akademiya OntustikLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TarazWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Akademiya OntustikTaraz
51.9Attack42.6
57.4Defence57.4
55.6Form44.4
56.4Power49.5
1.49xG0.99
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