GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Cup · 4/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ordabasy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Akademiya Ontustik are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ordabasy are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Cup, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ordabasy

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akademiya OntustikWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OrdabasyDWWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Akademiya OntustikOrdabasy
100.0Attack42.9
0.0Defence71.4
50.0Form42.9
48.5Power52.4
1.32xG1.46
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