1. Division1. Division
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 15:03
Akademiya Ontustik

Akademiya Ontustik

Home
WL
21
Full time
Astana II

Astana II

Away
WLW
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Akademiya Ontustik(36%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Akademiya Ontustik
36%
Draw
29%
Astana II
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Akademiya Ontustik
73
Astana II
89
Defence
Akademiya Ontustik
27
Astana II
66
Momentum
Akademiya Ontustik
50
Astana II
67
Danger (xG)
Akademiya Ontustik
1.80
Astana II
2.40
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Akademiya Ontustik)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Astana II)
2.40
avg per match
xG against (Akademiya Ontustik)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Astana II)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik
WLWL
Astana IIAstana II
WLWW

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Akademiya Ontustik36%
Draw29%
Astana II34%

Akademiya Ontustik leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Akademiya Ontustik head into this in 1. Division fixture in mixed form (WL), while Astana II arrive in decent form (WLW). Akademiya Ontustik have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 67% for Astana II over 3 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Akademiya Ontustik (73/100) and Astana II (89/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Akademiya Ontustik have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per home match. Astana II have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Akademiya Ontustik and Astana II in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Akademiya Ontustik to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Akademiya Ontustik 3643%, Draw 2944%, Astana II 3413%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Akademiya Ontustik

Akademiya Ontustik

W
@ Tobol 2
17 Jul 2026
32
L
vs Shakhter Karagandy
2 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Jaiyq
25 Jun 2026
10
L
vs Sport Academy Kairat
15 May 2026
13
Astana II

Astana II

W
vs Jaiyq
17 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Yelimay Semey 2
10 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Kaspij Aktau 2
2 Jul 2026
61
W
@ Tobol 2
14 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Akademiya Ontustik vs Astana II?

GoalVio's model predicts Akademiya Ontustik to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Akademiya Ontustik vs Astana II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Akademiya Ontustik vs Astana II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Akademiya Ontustik vs Astana II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more