GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 9/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akademiya Konoplev U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Akademiya Konoplev U20 3-0 Ural U20

Original prediction

Akademiya Konoplev U20

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4363.2%61.0%-2.2 pts
Draw4.1721.8%20.8%-1.0 pts
Away6.0415.0%18.2%3.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.4–18%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Akademiya Konoplev U20

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Akademiya Konoplev U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akademiya Konoplev U20WWWLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ural U20LLLLW

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Akademiya Konoplev U20Ural U20
68.3Attack39.7
41.3Defence25.4
55.6Form30.2
55.5Power34.4
3.56xG1.23
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