Akademiya Konoplev U20vs
Rubin Kazan U20
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akademiya Konoplev U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 4-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Akademiya Konoplev U20 2-0 Rubin Kazan U20
Original prediction
Akademiya Konoplev U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.2% | 66.8% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.45 | 16.5% | 17.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 7.97 | 11.3% | 15.3% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.4–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Akademiya Konoplev U20
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Akademiya Konoplev U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80