Akademiya Konoplev U20vs
Fakel U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akademiya Konoplev U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Akademiya Konoplev U20 3-0 Fakel U19
Original prediction
Akademiya Konoplev U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.2% | 61.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 19.7% | 20.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 6.90 | 13.2% | 17.7% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Akademiya Konoplev U20
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
Akademiya Konoplev U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00