GGOALVIO

Macedonia · Second League · 9/6/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akademija Pandev · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Akademija Pandev 1-0 Makedonija GjP

Original prediction

Akademija Pandev

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7452.4%45.7%-6.7 pts
Draw3.5525.6%28.0%2.4 pts
Away4.1222.1%26.4%4.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Akademija Pandev

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Akademija Pandev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akademija PandevWWDWW

GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Makedonija GjPWLWDW

GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Akademija PandevMakedonija GjP
44.4Attack22.2
88.9Defence77.8
77.8Form44.4
72.8Power51.1
1.33xG0.88
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