Ajmanvs
Sharjah FC
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 10/18/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sharjah FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajman 1-3 Sharjah FC
Original prediction
Sharjah FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.34 | 27.3% | 33.7% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.8% | 23.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.9% | 43.0% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Sharjah FC
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Sharjah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60