GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 3/1/2024, 1:35:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Ajman are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Emirates Club are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 47.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.6% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ajman

Probability

73.6%

Model confidence

73.6%

Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AjmanLDLWD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Emirates ClubLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AjmanEmirates Club
100.0Attack39.1
33.3Defence26.1
100.0Form24.6
80.3Power32.6
3.05xG1.01
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