Ajmanvs
Baniyas SC
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 10/9/2026, 1:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajman 1-0 Baniyas SC
Original prediction
Ajman
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 42.9% | 38.7% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.9% | 26.0% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.2% | 35.3% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AjmanWWLWL
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Baniyas SCWWDLL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AjmanBaniyas SC
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
83.3Power91.7
1.91xG1.91