Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Ajman are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al Urooba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 54.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 25.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.9% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
81.9%
Model confidence
81.9%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60