Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ajman are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al Nasr are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40