Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ajman are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Al Nasr are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80