Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ajman are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00