Ajmanvs
Al-Ittihad Kalba
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/11/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajman 2-3 Al-Ittihad Kalba
Original prediction
Ajman
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.2% | 55.7% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.4% | 21.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.4% | 22.5% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60