GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/29/2023, 1:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ajman are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDLD), averaging 1.25 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Al-Ittihad Kalba are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ajman

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AjmanLDLD

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.25/3.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Al-Ittihad KalbaLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
AjmanAl-Ittihad Kalba
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
2.14xG1.42
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