Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ajman are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Al-Dhafra are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.2% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
71.2%
Model confidence
71.2%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40