Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ajman are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al Bataeh are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60