Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ajman are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al Bataeh are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20