Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ajman are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al Ain are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00