Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ajman are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al Ain are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60