Ajman U23vs
Al Nasr U23
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · 9/7/2026, 1:50:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajman U23 1-0 Al Nasr U23
Original prediction
Ajman U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.3% | 53.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 23.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 22.4% | 23.2% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Ajman U23
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Ajman U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60