Ajman U23vs
Al Jazira U23
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · 8/30/2026, 1:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajman U23 1-1 Al Jazira U23
Original prediction
Ajman U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 25.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.0% | 29.1% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Ajman U23
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Ajman U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80