Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajka 0-3 Soroksar
Original prediction
Ajka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.5% | 39.2% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.6% | 28.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.8% | 32.5% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Ajka
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Ajka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AjkaWWDDW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
SoroksarWWWWD
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AjkaSoroksar
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form66.7
68.0Power64.8
1.42xG1.11