Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ajka are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Soroksar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajka hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the NB II, while Ajka holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajka
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Ajka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/4.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60