Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajka · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajka 1-2 BVSC
Original prediction
Ajka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.3% | 44.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.7% | 28.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.0% | 27.9% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Ajka
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Ajka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AjkaDLLWD
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BVSCWLDLW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AjkaBVSC
48.1Attack37.5
59.3Defence54.2
55.6Form29.2
56.1Power41.0
1.50xG0.85