GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League Women · 8/26/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ajax W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ajax W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Real Madrid W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax W hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the UEFA Champions League Women, while Ajax W holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ajax W

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

10.7%

Ajax W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ajax WWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real Madrid WWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ajax WReal Madrid W
66.7Attack41.7
83.3Defence54.2
100.0Form29.2
86.5Power42.9
2.08xG1.11
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