Ajax Wvs
Real Madrid W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League Women · 8/26/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajax W 0-2 Real Madrid W
Original prediction
Ajax W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.60 | 13.7% | 40.6% | 27.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.8% | 23.5% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 67.5% | 35.9% | -31.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
27.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Ajax W
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Ajax W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20