Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ajax W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Rangers W are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 3.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax W hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the UEFA Champions League Women, favouring Ajax W with 9.5% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajax W
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
9.5%
Ajax W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.67/3.33