Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ajax W 2-1 Rangers W
Original prediction
Ajax W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 August 2026 at 12:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Ajax W
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
9.5%
Ajax W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ajax WWWWWD
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rangers WWLL
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.67/3.33
BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
Ajax WRangers W
66.7Attack50.0
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
86.5Power53.0
2.30xG1.39