Ajax Wvs
Malmö FF W
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 10/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmö FF W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 12:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 37.9% | 36.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.3% | 26.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.8% | 37.0% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Malmö FF W
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Malmö FF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ajax WLWLWW
GF 20 · GA 7 · avg 4.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Malmö FF WWWWWL
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ajax WMalmö FF W
100.0Attack83.3
83.3Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
66.8Power94.8
1.66xG1.69