Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Ajax

Ajax

Home
D
11
Full time
VfL Bochum

VfL Bochum

Away
D
Sportcomplex De Toekomst
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

VfL Bochum33%
Ajax33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Ajax
33%
Draw
33%
VfL Bochum
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ajax
34
VfL Bochum
34
Defence
Ajax
66
VfL Bochum
66
Momentum
Ajax
33
VfL Bochum
33
Danger (xG)
Ajax
0.90
VfL Bochum
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Ajax)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (VfL Bochum)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ajax)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (VfL Bochum)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AjaxAjax
DD
VfL BochumVfL Bochum
DW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Ajax33%
Draw33%
VfL Bochum33%

VfL Bochum leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ajax head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture at Sportcomplex De Toekomst in mixed form (D), while VfL Bochum arrive in mixed form (D). Ajax have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for VfL Bochum over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Ajax (66/100) and VfL Bochum (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Ajax have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. VfL Bochum have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Ajax to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Ajax 3333%, Draw 3333%, VfL Bochum 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Ajax 0Draws 10 VfL Bochum
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Ajax
D11
VfL Bochum

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ajax vs VfL Bochum?

GoalVio's model predicts Ajax to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ajax vs VfL Bochum?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Ajax vs VfL Bochum?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ajax vs VfL Bochum?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more