AjaxvsUnion St. Gilloise

Ajax are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Union St. Gilloise are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.