GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/15/2024, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ajax are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ajax

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AjaxWWWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PanathinaikosLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AjaxPanathinaikos
58.3Attack38.9
37.5Defence44.4
33.3Form22.2
43.9Power37.2
1.96xG1.37
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