Ajaxvs
Maccabi Tel Aviv
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ajax are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40