GGOALVIO

Ajax logoAjaxvsLudogorets logoLudogorets

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/31/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ajax are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ludogorets are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AjaxWDWLL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LudogoretsWLLWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AjaxLudogorets
58.3Attack66.7
37.5Defence41.7
33.3Form50.0
43.9Power51.9
1.86xG1.89
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