AjaxvsJagiellonia

Ajax are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Jagiellonia are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Jagiellonia holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.