GGOALVIO

Ajax logoAjaxvsGalatasaray logoGalatasaray

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World · UEFA Europa League · 1/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ajax are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Galatasaray are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.9 against 42.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ajax

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AjaxLWWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GalatasarayWDDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AjaxGalatasaray
58.3Attack66.7
37.5Defence0.0
33.3Form50.0
43.9Power42.7
1.98xG1.73
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