GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/6/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eintracht Frankfurt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ajax are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Eintracht Frankfurt are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Eintracht Frankfurt hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 62.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Eintracht Frankfurt holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eintracht Frankfurt

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Eintracht Frankfurt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AjaxWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Eintracht FrankfurtLLWDD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AjaxEintracht Frankfurt
58.3Attack58.3
37.5Defence61.1
33.3Form63.9
43.9Power62.7
1.33xG2.03
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